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Singapore: route exposure, buffers, and downstream vulnerability.

Singapore’s refining and trading role creates market-sensitive exposure even when direct end-use vulnerability is lower than regional peers.

Overall riskElevated

Hormuz exposure

49%

Oil stock cover

42 days

Fertilizer

28/100

Helium

41/100

Country narrative

Why Singapore matters in this monitor

Margins can benefit from volatility, but throughput timing risk rises.

Exposure is more commercial than household or agricultural.

Direct oil dependence sits at 52% of the country’s external energy risk profile, while gas-linked downstream exposure remains notable at 19%.

Oil dependence

52%

Gas dependence

19%

Risk score

54 / 100

Reserve stress

Buffer depth versus import pressure

Hormuz dependence49
Oil reserve cover proxy21
Fertilizer vulnerability28
Helium sensitivity41

Related commodities

Transmission channels for Singapore

Live snippets

Current updates that matter for Singapore

17:24 HKT · Freight

VLCC freight indications widen for Gulf liftings into East Asia.

Brokers are quoting wider ranges for April fixtures as owners price in scheduling slack and higher perceived transit risk.

16:58 HKT · Reserves

Several importers review strategic stock readiness rather than immediate release options.

Current official posture remains preparatory, but contingency coordination has become more active across Asia.

16:11 HKT · Nitrogen

Urea buyers move to secure prompt cargoes as procurement windows tighten.

Tender timing is turning from opportunistic to defensive in South Asia, with price secondary to volume certainty.

15:36 HKT · LNG

Asian LNG desks mark a higher disruption premium into replacement scenarios.

The move reflects longer expected Gulf turnaround assumptions rather than confirmed physical outages.