Country page

Japan: route exposure, buffers, and downstream vulnerability.

Japan’s route dependence remains extremely high, though strategic stocks materially dampen the first-order supply shock.

Overall riskElevated

Hormuz exposure

87%

Oil stock cover

179 days

Fertilizer

36/100

Helium

58/100

Country narrative

Why Japan matters in this monitor

Industrial helium demand keeps laboratory and medical procurement on the watchlist.

Reserve depth lowers the chance of immediate physical shortage.

Direct oil dependence sits at 88% of the country’s external energy risk profile, while gas-linked downstream exposure remains notable at 10%.

Oil dependence

88%

Gas dependence

10%

Risk score

63 / 100

Reserve stress

Buffer depth versus import pressure

Hormuz dependence87
Oil reserve cover proxy90
Fertilizer vulnerability36
Helium sensitivity58

Related commodities

Transmission channels for Japan

Live snippets

Current updates that matter for Japan

17:24 HKT · Freight

VLCC freight indications widen for Gulf liftings into East Asia.

Brokers are quoting wider ranges for April fixtures as owners price in scheduling slack and higher perceived transit risk.

16:58 HKT · Reserves

Several importers review strategic stock readiness rather than immediate release options.

Current official posture remains preparatory, but contingency coordination has become more active across Asia.

16:11 HKT · Nitrogen

Urea buyers move to secure prompt cargoes as procurement windows tighten.

Tender timing is turning from opportunistic to defensive in South Asia, with price secondary to volume certainty.

15:36 HKT · LNG

Asian LNG desks mark a higher disruption premium into replacement scenarios.

The move reflects longer expected Gulf turnaround assumptions rather than confirmed physical outages.